Furtive Facts For Friday April 6th

YOU HAVE THREE MORE DAYS TO REGISTER TO VOTE IN THE INDIANA PRIMARY

And you can do it by text:  ‘For the first time, Indiana residents can kick off the registration process with a text message. Hoosiers can text “Indiana” to 2VOTE (28683) to get a link to the indianavoters.com website to register to vote.’

https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2018/04/02/hoosiers-can-register-vote-text-sort-but-do-soon-if-you-want-vote-may-8-primary/458729002/

Showing up matters.  ‘A new Post-Kaiser survey finds that 20% of adults have attended a political protest, rally or speech in the last two years.’:

The poll offers a rare snapshot of how public activism has changed in the 50 years since large street protests and rallies last dominated the political landscape.

“This confirms there is a resistance and that a lot of people want to be associated with it,” said Michael Kazin, a history professor at Georgetown University and editor of Dissent magazine. He said many Americans intensely oppose what Trump is doing, just as many did in the second half of Lyndon Johnson’s term in the late 1960s….

Nearly 4 in 10 said they plan to become more involved in political causes in 2018. Among the one-third who planned to work or volunteer for congressional races, 64 percent say they will do so for Democrats, and 26 percent plan to work for Republicans.’

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/national/wp/2018/04/06/feature/in-reaction-to-trump-millions-of-americans-are-joining-protests-and-getting-political/?utm_term=.86703d9c7ea2

 

More women are running for office than ever before: 

‘In Indiana, for example, women are running in each of the state’s nine congressional districts — only two of which are currently represented by Democrats.’

https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/politics/Women-Elections-US-House-Seats-Record-478900043.html

According to Time Magazine ‘Even with the record numbers, women are still outnumbered by male candidates. But experts say the sheer number of women running combined with so many House seats open due to retirements or resignations provides one of the best opportunities for women to make real gains in terms of representation and a change in priorities.’

Now that Rex Tillerson is gone some of his “run it like a business cost-cutting” is being questioned:

‘Congressional officials, some of whom had unsuccessfully tried for months to learn details of the redesign, expressed surprise when POLITICO disclosed the dollar figures to them and said the issue could be the subject of upcoming hearings.

“I believe we must look into how taxpayer money was spent on this botched project and will continue to call for the committee to examine these issues in open hearings in the near future,” [New Jersey Sen. Robert Menendez]  Millions have been spent on private consultants (mostly from Deloitte).

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/04/05/tillerson-state-department-consultants-503557

 

President Trump’s relief that Robert Mueller’s investigation has told him is not a “target” of the investigation may be premature:

The Washington Post reported that ‘Prosecutors view someone as a subject when that person has engaged in conduct that is under investigation but there is not sufficient evidence to bring charges.’  However, according to University of Missouri School of Law professor Frank Bowman, that is an incomplete reading of DOJ guidelines.  ‘The full DOJ definition also offers that a target is someone “who, in the judgment of the prosecutor, is a putative defendant.” This is relevant, because current Department of Justice guidelines say that a sitting president cannot be indicted, which means that according to these guidelines he cannot technically be a putative defendant—at least not while in office.

“The ‘not a target’ designation doesn’t convey much of real substance concerning Mueller’s assessment of the current evidence against Trump,” Bowman told me over email. “If Mueller really said Trump is not a ‘target,’ all he may be saying is that, while there is substantial evidence linking him to a crime, DOJ policy precludes making him an actual indicted ‘defendant.’”

Until he is no longer President…

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2018/04/the-report-that-trump-is-not-a-target-of-the-mueller-probe-is-actually-terrible-news-for-him.html

Furtive Facts For Friday March 30th

More evidence that getting out the vote – registering voters and getting them to the polls – makes a huge difference:

‘In Illinois’ 6th Congressional District, 62,990 people voted Democratic last week for seven candidates, up from just 8,615 in the 2014 primary.’  That is a 631%% increase over four years ago!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/suburban-voters-angry-with-trump-threaten-gop-grip-on-house/2018/03/26/e7c81026-2de3-11e8-8688-e053ba58f1e4_story.html?utm_term=.39b0551a559e

 

The Indiana General Assembly will most likely be called for a special session in May, costing taxpayers as much as $30,000 per day:

There are quite a few questions being raised about this such as:

Is this really a special session for special interests?  Last minute addenda to three different tax bills – hundreds of pages of proposed statutes – that benefit powerful corporate interests are part of why some legislators want to come back and pass those bills.  Democrats are wondering why a GOP supermajority couldn’t get bills, some of which had bi-partisan support, passed during the regular session.  How will the fact of knowing they have lost their re-nomination bid affect the decision making of lawmakers so affected?

https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2018/03/25/special-session-special-interests/447208002/

and

http://www.nwitimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/gov-holcomb-will-call-special-session-of-indiana-general-assembly/article_401011d7-9e68-5db2-a39b-c23a1d54e573.html

 

“[This] White House has assembled the most preponderantly male team since the Reagan administration:

This gender skew shows up at all levels of the government, which means not only are women underrepresented in senior ranks, but the appointees and aides at lower levels are also overwhelmingly male – and those are the people gaining experience that will make the attractive to the next Republican administration in power.  This, obviously, perpetuates the lack of women with input and making policy.
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/03/the-very-male-trump-administration/556568/

 

This effect may, however, be dampened by the surge of women getting involved as candidates at the state and local levels:

In Indiana there are 75 women running for a seat in the General Assembly on May 8th, which is twice as many as ran four years ago!

https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2018/03/29/more-women-fighting-seat-table-indiana-general-assembly-primaries/389864002/

 

If you missed the debate among GOP candidates for Todd Rokita’s soon-to-be-vacated seat, you can catch up with it here:

https://www.purdueexponent.org/city_state/article_3c0026d8-f3d1-507d-8c01-9fe74dce69f3.html

Furtive Facts For Friday March 23rd [belated]

According to the GOP, 95.5% of Americans are poverty-stricken, including, probably, you:
‘On Thursday, House Republicans issued a fact sheet about their new tax cut plan that referred to Americans earning $450,000 a year as “low- and middle-income”—even though that income level would put those taxpayers in the top 0.5 percent of all individual Americans.’
http://www.newsweek.com/tax-cuts-republicans-middle-class-trump-701094

If you’re confused about what Cambridge Analytica and Facebook did, read this:
FB User [hereinafter “FBU”] clicked a “like” on a celebrity or product or meme. Overandoverandover. So many ppl.

In the meantime researchers at Stanford and Cambridge had developed a personality modelling system that assessed certain character traits, with the acronym OCEAN. They then ran the myPersonality app which, if FBU took the quiz accessed FB data about FBU and their “friend” network. *That* gave the researchers the ability to cross-reference the numeric OCEAN scores with “likes” which gave them a way to build correlations between the two sets of data. Studying those correlations open the way to make pretty damn good guesses about FBUs’s personalities using only ‘likes’, no quiz necessary.

CA got wind of all this and asked the researchers if they could use the models developed in this work. Stanford/Cambridge said no. So CA went to Aleksandr Kogan, also of Cambridge, who while not part of the research team, knew about their work. Kogan developed an app called “thisisyourdigitallife” which was very similar to myPersonality and *that’s* the app that scraped data from the 50m+ FBUs. 30m of those profiles scraped had enough info to generate personality profiles. Of *those*, 270K authorised Kogan to use their data, being told it would be used for always please to call it research. He’s the guy who worked with CA.

CA then used this data and model to ‘exploit the private social media activity of a huge swath of the American electorate, developing techniques that underpinned its work on President Trump’s campaign in 2016.’

CA was also experimenting with dog whistles like “drain the swamp” and “build the wall” as early as 2014.

http://www.businessinsider.com/cambridge-analytica-trump-russia-ties-2018-3

APRIL 9 is the last day to register to vote in the primaries in Indiana:
Go here to check your registration, register to vote, find polling places: https://indianavoters.in.gov/?gclid=EAIaIQobChMI_aOg6N2F2gIV3ouzCh2upwxuEAAYASAAEgL_mvD_BwE
Remember, a concerted effort has been made to purge voters from the rolls, and many purges were in error.

The Trump administration’s tariffs, part of the allegedly making America great again agenda, have not only spooked the stock market, but have raised real concerns for Indiana agriculture and manufacturing industries:
‘“But Indiana is also a leading manufacturing state,” he added. “In fact, one of four jobs in Indiana is in manufacturing related to transportation. These companies include GM, Honda, Subaru, Toyota, Rolls Royce and Cummins engines, Wabash National, and the recreational vehicle industry. Indiana is also a leading producer and manufacturer of automobile and truck parts. All these companies plus others, such as Caterpillar, are heavy users of aluminum and steel.”
Higher prices for aluminum and steel would increase costs for those companies, likely leading to reduced sales – and with reduced sales, jobs would be lost, according to Tyner….

‘China is a major importer of U.S. soybeans with 62 percent of total U.S. exports destined for China. A Chinese tariff would clearly have adverse on Indiana farmers, who are major soybean producers. Other possible targets would be automobiles made in the U.S., which would deepen the problems for Indiana automobile producers.”

As a major manufacturing state, Indiana could be vulnerable in a trade war.
“It turns out that Indiana has four of the top 10 exporting communities in the entire U.S. – Columbus, Elkhart, Kokomo, and Lafayette,” Tyner noted. “Retaliatory tariffs could affect any or all of these communities.”
https://www.purdue.edu/newsroom/releases/2018/Q1/tyner-tariffs-would-have-significant-impact-throughout-indiana-economy.html